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Stochastic modeling and analysis of Hepatitis and Tuberculosis co-infection dynamics |
Sayed Murad Ali Shah1, Yufeng Nie(聂玉峰)1,†, Anwarud Din2,‡, Abdulwasea Alkhazzan1, and Bushra Younas3 |
1 School of Mathematics and Statistics, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an 710072, China; 2 Department of Mathematics, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China; 3 Department of Mathematics, University of Sialkot, P. O. Box 052, Pakistan |
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Abstract Several mathematical models have been developed to investigate the dynamics of Tuberculosis (TB) and Hepatitis B virus (HBV). Numerous current models for TB, HBV, and their co-dynamics fall short in capturing the important and practical aspect of unpredictability. It is crucial to take into account a stochastic co-infection HBV-TB epidemic model since different random elements have a substantial impact on the overall dynamics of these diseases. We provide a novel stochastic co-model for TB and HBV in this study, and we establish criteria on the uniqueness and existence of a non-negative global solution. We also looked at the persistence of the infections as long its dynamics are governable by the proposed model. To verify the theoretical conclusions, numerical simulations are presented keeping in view the associated analytical results. The infections are found to finally die out and go extinct with certainty when Lévy intensities surpass the specified thresholds and the related stochastic thresholds fall below unity. The findings also demonstrate the impact of noise on the decline in the co-circulation of HBV and TB in a given population. Our results provide insights into effective intervention strategies, ultimately aiming to improve the management and control of TB and HBV co-infections.
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Received: 30 June 2024
Revised: 27 August 2024
Accepted manuscript online: 14 September 2024
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PACS:
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02.50.Ey
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(Stochastic processes)
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02.50.Fz
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(Stochastic analysis)
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02.50.Ga
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(Markov processes)
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Corresponding Authors:
Yufeng Nie, Anwarud Din
E-mail: yfnie@nwpu.edu.cn;anwarud@mail.sysu.edu.cn
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Cite this article:
Sayed Murad Ali Shah, Yufeng Nie(聂玉峰), Anwarud Din, Abdulwasea Alkhazzan, and Bushra Younas Stochastic modeling and analysis of Hepatitis and Tuberculosis co-infection dynamics 2024 Chin. Phys. B 33 110203
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