Modeling the dynamics of firms' technological impact

doi:10.1088/1674-1056/ac364c

中国物理B ›› 2021, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (12): 120517-120517.doi: 10.1088/1674-1056/ac364c

所属专题： SPECIAL TOPIC — Interdisciplinary physics: Complex network dynamics and emerging technologies

Modeling the dynamics of firms' technological impact

Shuqi Xu(徐舒琪)¹, Manuel Sebastian Mariani^1,2,†, and Linyuan Lü(吕琳媛)^1,3,‡

1 Yangtze Delta Region Institute(Huzhou) & Institute of Fundamental and Frontier Sciences, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Huzhou 313001, China;
2 University Research Priority Program on Social Networks, University of Zurich, CH-8050 Zurich, Switzerland;
3 Beijing Computational Science Research Center, Beijing 100193, China

收稿日期:2021-07-31 修回日期:2021-09-17 接受日期:2021-11-04 出版日期:2021-11-15 发布日期:2021-11-30
通讯作者: Manuel Sebastian Mariani, Linyuan Lü E-mail:manuel.mariani@business.uzh.ch;linyuan.lv@uestc.edu.cn
基金资助:
Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 61673150 and 11622538). M.S.M. acknowledges financial support from the URPP Social Networks at the University of Zurich, and the UESTC professor research start-up (Grant No. ZYGX2018KYQD215). L.L. acknowledges the Science Strength Promotion Programme of UESTC, Chengdu.

Modeling the dynamics of firms' technological impact

Shuqi Xu(徐舒琪)¹, Manuel Sebastian Mariani^1,2,†, and Linyuan Lü(吕琳媛)^1,3,‡

1 Yangtze Delta Region Institute(Huzhou) & Institute of Fundamental and Frontier Sciences, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Huzhou 313001, China;
2 University Research Priority Program on Social Networks, University of Zurich, CH-8050 Zurich, Switzerland;
3 Beijing Computational Science Research Center, Beijing 100193, China

Received:2021-07-31 Revised:2021-09-17 Accepted:2021-11-04 Online:2021-11-15 Published:2021-11-30
Contact: Manuel Sebastian Mariani, Linyuan Lü E-mail:manuel.mariani@business.uzh.ch;linyuan.lv@uestc.edu.cn
Supported by:
Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 61673150 and 11622538). M.S.M. acknowledges financial support from the URPP Social Networks at the University of Zurich, and the UESTC professor research start-up (Grant No. ZYGX2018KYQD215). L.L. acknowledges the Science Strength Promotion Programme of UESTC, Chengdu.

摘要/Abstract

摘要： Recent studies in complexity science have uncovered temporal regularities in the dynamics of impact along scientific and other creative careers, but they did not extend the obtained insights to firms. In this paper, we show that firms' technological impact patterns cannot be captured by the state-of-the-art dynamical models for the evolution of scientists' research impact, such as the Q model. Therefore, we propose a time-varying returns model which integrates the empirically-observed relation between patent order and technological impact into the Q model. The proposed model can reproduce the timing pattern of firms' highest-impact patents accurately. Our results shed light on modeling the differences behind the impact dynamics of researchers and firms.

关键词: firm technological impact, patent analysis, impact dynamics

Abstract: Recent studies in complexity science have uncovered temporal regularities in the dynamics of impact along scientific and other creative careers, but they did not extend the obtained insights to firms. In this paper, we show that firms' technological impact patterns cannot be captured by the state-of-the-art dynamical models for the evolution of scientists' research impact, such as the Q model. Therefore, we propose a time-varying returns model which integrates the empirically-observed relation between patent order and technological impact into the Q model. The proposed model can reproduce the timing pattern of firms' highest-impact patents accurately. Our results shed light on modeling the differences behind the impact dynamics of researchers and firms.

Key words: firm technological impact, patent analysis, impact dynamics

中图分类号: (Other topics in statistical physics, thermodynamics, and nonlinear dynamical systems)

05.90.+m

89.65.Gh (Economics; econophysics, financial markets, business and management) 07.05.Tp (Computer modeling and simulation)

Shuqi Xu(徐舒琪), Manuel Sebastian Mariani, and Linyuan Lü(吕琳媛). Modeling the dynamics of firms' technological impact[J]. 中国物理B, 2021, 30(12): 120517-120517.

Shuqi Xu(徐舒琪), Manuel Sebastian Mariani, and Linyuan Lü(吕琳媛). Modeling the dynamics of firms' technological impact[J]. Chin. Phys. B, 2021, 30(12): 120517-120517.

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Modeling the dynamics of firms' technological impact

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