中国物理B ›› 2014, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (2): 28904-028904.doi: 10.1088/1674-1056/23/2/028904

• INTERDISCIPLINARY PHYSICS AND RELATED AREAS OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY • 上一篇    下一篇

Analyzing the causation of a railway accident based on a complex network

马欣, 李克平, 罗自炎, 周进   

  1. State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and Safety, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
  • 收稿日期:2013-04-16 修回日期:2013-06-19 出版日期:2013-12-12 发布日期:2013-12-12
  • 基金资助:
    Project supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2011AA110502), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 71271022), and the Research Foundation of State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and Safety, China (Grant No. RCS2012ZQ001).

Analyzing the causation of a railway accident based on a complex network

Ma Xin (马欣), Li Ke-Ping (李克平), Luo Zi-Yan (罗自炎), Zhou Jin (周进)   

  1. State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and Safety, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
  • Received:2013-04-16 Revised:2013-06-19 Online:2013-12-12 Published:2013-12-12
  • Contact: Ma Xin E-mail:12120896@bjtu.edu.cn
  • About author:89.75.Hc; 45.80.+r; 05.70.Fh; 02.30.Yy
  • Supported by:
    Project supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2011AA110502), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 71271022), and the Research Foundation of State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and Safety, China (Grant No. RCS2012ZQ001).

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摘要： In this paper, a new model is constructed for the causation analysis of railway accident based on the complex network theory. In the model, the nodes are defined as various manifest or latent accident causal factors. By employing the complex network theory, especially its statistical indicators, the railway accident as well as its key causations can be analyzed from the overall perspective. As a case, the “7.23” China–Yongwen railway accident is illustrated based on this model. The results show that the inspection of signals and the checking of line conditions before trains run played an important role in this railway accident. In conclusion, the constructed model gives a theoretical clue for railway accident prediction and, hence, greatly reduces the occurrence of railway accidents.

关键词: railway accident, complex network, accident network model

Abstract: In this paper, a new model is constructed for the causation analysis of railway accident based on the complex network theory. In the model, the nodes are defined as various manifest or latent accident causal factors. By employing the complex network theory, especially its statistical indicators, the railway accident as well as its key causations can be analyzed from the overall perspective. As a case, the “7.23” China–Yongwen railway accident is illustrated based on this model. The results show that the inspection of signals and the checking of line conditions before trains run played an important role in this railway accident. In conclusion, the constructed model gives a theoretical clue for railway accident prediction and, hence, greatly reduces the occurrence of railway accidents.

Key words: railway accident, complex network, accident network model

中图分类号:  (Networks and genealogical trees)

  • 89.75.Hc
45.80.+r (Control of mechanical systems) 05.70.Fh (Phase transitions: general studies) 02.30.Yy (Control theory)