关键词: intelligent model, vehicular dynamics, stochastic differential equation, stochastic stability

Abstract: The law of vehicle movement has long been studied under the umbrella of microscopic traffic flow models, especially the car-following (CF) models. These models of the movement of vehicles serve as the backbone of traffic flow analysis, simulation, autonomous vehicle development, etc. Two-dimensional (2D) vehicular movement is basically stochastic and is the result of interactions between a driver's behavior and a vehicle's characteristics. Current microscopic models either neglect 2D noise, or overlook vehicle dynamics. The modeling capabilities, thus, are limited, so that stochastic lateral movement cannot be reproduced. The present research extends an intelligent driver model (IDM) by explicitly considering both vehicle dynamics and 2D noises to formulate a stochastic 2D IDM model, with vehicle dynamics based on the stochastic differential equation (SDE) theory. Control inputs from the vehicle include the steer rate and longitudinal acceleration, both of which are developed based on an idea from a traditional intelligent driver model. The stochastic stability condition is analyzed on the basis of Lyapunov theory. Numerical analysis is used to assess the two cases: (i) when a vehicle accelerates from a standstill and (ii) when a platoon of vehicles follow a leader with a stop-and-go speed profile, the formation of congestion and subsequent dispersion are simulated. The results show that the model can reproduce the stochastic 2D trajectories of the vehicle and the marginal distribution of lateral movement. The proposed model can be used in both a simulation platform and a behavioral analysis of a human driver in traffic flow.

Key words: intelligent model, vehicular dynamics, stochastic differential equation, stochastic stability